Suggested case structure
Key question: Which channel will ensure the required level of AUM? Which one is the most profitable?
Exhibit 1
Suggested steps ranked by priority:
- Market Size: Estimate the market size for each segment and relate the AUM target in term of required market share. Is it the target feasible?
- Portfolio Estimate: Identify the size of the average portfolio for both PB and FA and thus calculate the required number of PB / FA
- Profitability
- Revenue stream: calculate for both segments the revenue streams (assuming a given fee structure)
- Cost base: calculate the costs associated with each network choice (fixed vs variable costs)
Make sure the interviewee builds a solid structure that includes all the above 3 elements
If needed, share Exhibit 1 with the candidate
1. Market Size
The interviewee is encouraged to estimate the market size on her own.
If needed the following data can be shared
Share Exhibit 2 (if requested) with the candidate to estimate market size
Exhibit 2
The total AUM available on the market is:
π΄ππ=ππππ’πππ‘πππ Γ% π€ππ‘β π πππ£ππ π€ππππ‘β Γ π€ππ‘β ππ£πππππ π€ππππ‘β
In order to estimate the market potential for Private Bankers and Financial Advisors we need to distinguish between the two different segments.
For the affluent segment we estimate the average wealth of the segment as the average between the lower bound (β¬200K) and the upper bound β¬1M, namely β¬600K = average (β¬200k, β¬1M). Obviously we should keep the top 1% of the population outside of the equation, as they belong to the HNWI segment.
AUM Affluent segment = 40 M Γ (10% - 1%) Γ average (β¬200k, β¬1M)* = β¬2,160Bn
Since we donβt have an upper bound for the top 1% of the population we assume the same ratio to the lower bound as per the Affluent segment , i.e. β¬3M = β¬1M Γ β¬600K / β¬200K: the actual average value may be higher because of wealth concentration, however for the purpose of this case it is important just to recognize that the average wealth of the HNWI is larger than the lower bound
AUM HNWI segment = 40 M Γ 1% Γ β¬3M = β¬1,200Bn
- The market size looks large enough to continue the analysis: β¬12Bn of AUM seems definitely a small amount of total market regardless from the current level of competition.
- The market for Financial Advisors is bigger nearly twice the market for Private Bankers
2. Portfolio size estimate
If needed, help the candidate to think about the feasibility of β¬12Bn AUM target in terms of implementation: how many Private Bankers / Financial Advisors are needed to reach the target?
The candidate should estimate the size of the average portfolio managed by each Private Banker and Financial Advisor as:
π΄π£πππππ ππππ‘πππππ π΄ππ=ππ’ππππ ππ ππππππ‘π Γπ΄π£πππππ π΄ππ πππ ππππππ‘
From the previous point we already know the average AUM per client segment:
- Affluent Clients -> Avg AUM = β¬600K
- HNWI Clients -> Avg AUM = β¬3M
Candidate is encouraged to estimate by its own the number of clients that can be managed by Private Bankers vs Financial Advisors, if asked respond that:
- Average number of clients for Private Bankers = 20 (rationale -> each client would require 1 full day of work per day)
- Average number of clients for Financial Advisors = 40 (rationale -> each client would require half day of work per day)
- Average AUM for Private Bankers = 20 Γ β¬3M = β¬60M
- Average AUM for Financial Advisors = 40 Γ β¬600K = β¬24M
Thus, in order to achieve the goal of AUM = β¬12Bn, we will need either:
- 200 Private Bankers = β¬12Bn / β¬60M
- 500 Financial Advisors = β¬12Bn / β¬24M
Key business insight
Private Bankers bring in significantly bigger portfolios although managing less clients thus a smaller number of Private Bankers is required compared to Financial Advisors to achieve the same AUM target
3. Segment profitability
At this point the interviewee should make the last step of estimating the profitability of the different channels by identifying revenue streams and cost associated to each channels.
In particular the interviewee need to identify a high level framework to estimate the profitability of each channel, pinpointing:
- Revenue stream for the bank (how the bank generate revenue from the AUM?)
- Fixed cost (which are the main fixed cost for each channel?)
- Variable cost (which kind of variable cost do we expect?)
The interviewee is encouraged to first estimate the revenue and cost structure for Private Bankers and Financial Advisors by her own. Once a set of hypothesis and assumptions is proposed the next 2 slides scan be shared
Read the following text to the interviewee and share the table of the next slide
Private Bankers
- Private Bankers earn a base salary of β¬80K
- Private Banking clients pay an administration fee of 1% of their AUM, of which:
- 0.75% is retained by the bank
- 0.25% is given to the Private Banker
- If the returns of the clientβs portfolio exceed a given threshold the bank earns an extra 0.5% of the AUM as performance fee, out of which:
- 0.20% is retained by the bank
- 0.30% is given to the Private Banker
- We can assume this performance fee is earned in 50% of the cases
- Financial Advisors act as selling agents, as such they donβt earn any fixed salary
- Affluent clients pay an administration fee of 1% of their AUM, of which:
- 0.50% is retained by the bank
- 0.50% is given as compensation to the Financial Advisors
- Also in this case a performance fee is earned with the same structure as for Private Bankers
- In both case the variable cost associated to the asset management is 0.1%
Given the above information the profitability for each channel can be calculated in the following way
- Revenue
- Management Fee = β¬12Bn Γ 0.75% = β¬90M
- Performance Fee = β¬12Bn Γ 0.2% Γ 50% probability = β¬12M
- Cost
- Fixed cost of Private Bankers salary = β¬80K Γ 200 Private Bankers = β¬16M
- Variable cost due to asset management = β¬12Bn Γ 0.1% = β¬12M
- Profit = β¬74M = 90 + 12 β 16 - 12
- Revenue
- Management Fee = β¬12Bn Γ 0.50% = β¬60M
- Performance Fee = β¬12Bn Γ 0.2% Γ 50% probability = β¬12M
- Cost
- No Fixed cost for Financial Advisors salary
- Variable cost due to asset management = β¬12Bn Γ 0.1% = β¬12M
- Profit = β¬60M = 60 + 12 β 12
- Private Bankers provide higher profitability but present a fixed cost
- Financial Advisors on the other hand look less profitable but require only variable cost
4. Conclusions
Prompt the candidate to provide a final recommendation to the case, highlighting pros and cons of each option
The case does not lead to a clear one-way solution, both Private Bankers and Financial Advisors are a viable solution. The candidate is expected to recognize this and to highlight pros and cons of each channel.
In particular given the high complementarity of the two channels the best solution is indeed a blended one (i.e. half Private Bankers and half Financial Advisors)
- Pros:
- Higher profitability
- Smaller number of clients and agents required to reach the target compared to Affluent segment
- Develop relationship with High Net Worth customer may be critical for other activities of the bank (e.g. cross selling of lending products to entrepreneurs)
- Private Bankers are employees of the bank, thus leading to higher retention rate compared to independent agents
- Cons:
- Fixed cost associated to the Private Bankers salary, if the AUM target is not reached the profitability can be significantly reduced!
- Smaller market compared to Affluent segment -> the bank would need nearly twice the market share on Affluent to reach the AUM goal on Private clients
- Pros:
- Only variable cost, thus in case of smaller level of AUM obtained no extra cost is due
- Affluent segment is a larger market compared to HNWI -> the bank would need around half the market share on Affluent to reach the AUM goal
- Cons:
- Lower profitability
- Larger number of clients and agents required to reach the target compared to Private segment
The candidate is encouraged to conclude the case suggesting the next steps for the case, e.g.:
- Verify the availability of Private Bankers and Financial Advisors: considering that we need to hire them we need to verify availability on the market of such professionals and the hiring cost (e.g. head hunting fee)
- Engage the Wealth Management department to prepare suitable products to be sold to clients
- Design an adequate organizational structure for the network and the appropriate geographical distribution